I was planning to write a post this month to follow up on last month’s post about economics, but I decided to turn my attention to several news items that have appeared in the last few days and that some readers might find interesting. My daughter and son-in-law are studying in Jerusalem this year, so I follow the news from the region fairly closely. Two situations–the continuing developments from the Arab Spring and the on-going tensions between Israel and Iran–are giving rise to some interesting news stories.
When the Arab Spring was taking place, I expected nothing good to come from it. My study of history has taught me that revolutions rarely change things as advertised. It is far easier to unite people in opposition to something than to rally people around a positive program. So revolutions are usually brought about by a broad coalition of people who actually have widely disparate views of what they want after they bring the old order down. Once the existing order is brought down, there is inevitably a power vacuum. That power vacuum will eventually (usually after two or three years) be filled by the group that is best organized, most ruthless, and most patient. As things are unfolding in Egypt, it would appear that the Muslim Brotherhood best fits that description. Here is an article from the Jerusalem Post, written by an American academic who has been living in Egypt and observing events close up: http://www.jpost.com/MiddleEast/Article.aspx?id=269806.
Another article reports on a speech given May 1 by Egyptian cleric Safwat Higazi, a leader of the Muslim Brotherhood. Before a large crowd, he announced one of the goals of the organization. The Muslim Brotherhood is working to create a United States of Arabs, the capital of which will be Jerusalem. This is a bit problematic in that Jerusalem is currently the capital of the Jewish state of Israel, and the Jews are showing no interest in moving out. The article reports the cleric’s solution to this problem:
“The capital of the Caliphate—the capital of the United States of the Arabs,” he continued, “will be Jerusalem, Allah willing!”
Not long afterward, Higazi reiterated the campaign promise, but this time in more unequivocal language: “Our capital shall not be Cairo, Mecca, or Medina. It shall be Jerusalem, Allah willing. Our cry shall be: ‘Millions of martyrs march toward Jerusalem! Millions of martyrs march toward Jerusalem!’”
The crowd responded in kind: “Millions of martyrs march toward Jerusalem! Millions of martyrs march toward Jerusalem! Millions of martyrs march toward Jerusalem!”
Chilling stuff. You can read the entire article at http://www.jewishpress.com/news/israel/muslim-brotherhood-launches-presidential-campaign-the-capital-of-the-united-states-of-the-arabs-will-be-jerusalem/2012/05/10/.
Another article, this one an opinion piece, presents a survey of what is happening throughout the Middle East, focusing on each country’s attitude toward Israel. The events of the Arab Spring allowed pro-Islamist and anti-Israel sentiments to come forward in each state. But this just fits into a pattern of a resurgence of Islamic fundamentalism and an accompanying anti-Israel sentiment in almost all of the countries of the region. This article presents a helpful survey of the attitudes of most of the countries in the Middle East: http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/Op-EdContributors/Article.aspx?id=269795.
A final article is related to the tensions between Israel and Iran. Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of the Hezbollah (the Muslim group that, with the help of Syria and Iran, has virtually gained control of Lebanon) made a speech a few days ago. The occasion for the speech was the completed reconstruction of an area in south Lebanon that was destroyed in the last conflict between the Hezbollah and Israel in 2006. He used this speech to warn Israel against any acts of provocation. He announced that the Hezbollah now have the technical ability to reach any part of Israel with missiles. He then made a very ominous statement:
“The days when we were forced from our homes and they were not forced from theirs are over,” Nasrallah said, to cheers from a crowd of supporters watching his speech.
“The days when we were afraid and they were not are over,” he said. “And we say to them: The time has come when we will remain and you will be the ones who disappear.”
You can read the entire article at http://www.jpost.com/MiddleEast/Article.aspx?id=269614.
Israel lives in a rough neighborhood.






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